Diversity in Foresight: Insights from the Fostering of Innovation Ideas
نویسندگان
چکیده
Foresight activities have often provided support for priority-setting, networking and consensual vision-building. In this paper, we draw upon complementary evolutionary perspectives and discuss these objectives from the viewpoint of diversity which may be vital in contexts characterized by technological discontinuities and high uncertainties. We also argue that although the solicitation of weak signals has been widely advocated for use in such contexts, the solicitation of ideas for prospective innovations may result in more focused, action-oriented and comparable reflections of future developments. Building on this argument, we extend the recently developed Robust Portfolio Modelling (RPM) methodology and develop a new collaborative foresight method called RPMscreening which comprises phases for the generation, revision, evaluation and analysis of innovation ideas. We also report experiences from a pilot project where this method was employed to enhance the work of the Foresight Forum of the Ministry of Trade and Industry in Finland. The encouraging results from this pilot project and other recent applications suggest RPM-screening holds promise in terms of fostering diversity in a variety of contexts, for instance in the development of shared research agendas and the identification and assessment of technological risks.
منابع مشابه
Adopting Diverse Perspectives in the Fostering of Innovation Activities
Although foresight has often supported shared vision-building and generic priority-setting, it can also foster diversity in perspectives, collaborative relations and ideas on innovations. While such diversity can be supported by soliciting weak signals from different stakeholders, the mere mapping of weak signals may result in an extensive set of fragmental issues that are difficult to compare ...
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